What NASA Can Teach CFE


They were building a Ferrari for every launch, when it was possible that a Honda Accord could achieve it.

– Elon Musk

On May 30, the first private space mission was launched by Elon Musk’s company SpaceX, also founder of Tesla, which sent two NASA astronauts to the International Space Station. This launch represents the first trip departing from the United States in almost a decade and represents what some call the beginning of the private space race. Can this teach us some lessons for CFE?

It would be difficult for us to think of an area more strategic for a government than its space program, and even more so when it is intimately linked with an arms and ideological race before the perceived threat in times of the Cold War. And as such, it received large sums of public budget to operate.

However, in the more than 60 years since its creation, the world has changed a lot in political, economic and social aspects. The model of the welfare State was becoming exhausted, mainly because of the amount of resources required to sustain the government structure, and with it the large sums that governments could dedicate to these strategic sectors.

For example, NASA’s budget went from 43,554 million dollars to 22,559 million dollars between 1966 and 2020, in constant 2014 dollars. As a consequence, the agency has had to close some of its most emblematic programs, such as the manned space shuttle program that operated for 30 years from 1981 to 2011. In total, through this program, 135 trips were carried out that had a launch cost of between 450 and 1,500 million dollars.

The most important lesson from the SpaceX Dragon launch is that it cost 50 million dollars, only 10% of the cost of the cheapest launch of NASA’s space shuttles, in such a way that the agency has decided to become one of the company’s main clients to send astronauts into space.

That is, NASA continues developing strategic activities in space matters and dedicates its resources and efforts where it could obtain more value for the country and the world, such as the remote exploration of Mars, Jupiter and Saturn and the exploration of deep space with its space satellites, and leaves to private initiative the launches that can be done more economically for the agency.

Seen in this way, CFE could learn a lot from NASA, concentrating on the strategic areas that generate more value per unit of investment, such as transmission, distribution, telemetry, transportation and commercialization of natural gas, among others, and leaving behind those volumetric goals of electric energy generation that require keeping expensive, inefficient and polluting plants in operation, such as those that operate with fuel oil and coal, replacing that generation with clean and renewable energy at low costs like those obtained in the Long-Term Auctions for the benefit of our health and our pockets.

Who knows? Perhaps instead of trying to continue repairing the mythical Vocho with a Ferrari budget, CFE could achieve more, much more, for all Mexicans, just as NASA did.


This article was originally published by Business Insider México.
Date: June 3, 2020
Original Link: https://businessinsider.mx/lo-que-la-nasa-puede-ensenarle-a-cfe-opinion-paul-alejandro-sanchez-energia-circular/ [offline]
Archived Link: https://web.archive.org/web/20210117004053/https://businessinsider.mx/lo-que-la-nasa-puede-ensenarle-a-cfe-opinion-paul-alejandro-sanchez-energia-circular/[Archived]

Back to the Future

“1.21 Gigawatts!

How am I going to be able to generate so much energy? It is impossible”

-Dr. Emmett Brown

Many of you will remember that classic film from 1985: “Back to the Future.” In the movie, Marty McFly convinces Dr. Brown (“The Doc”) that he traveled to the past thanks to a time machine that he built in the future, and that it ran out of battery. Finally, the Doc agrees to help Marty, but he faces a great problem: producing 1.21 Gigawatts (GW) to turn on the DeLorean.

In the mid-1980s, nuclear energy seemed very promising; it was considered the future and the only way to put an end to fossil sources. Many things changed with the Chernobyl accident the following year, but that is another story.

Returning (to the future): it is 2020, they still do not sell plutonium in pharmacies and many things have changed in 35 years. The energy future is no longer deposited in nuclear energy, but in new-generation renewables — particularly solar and wind —, together with storage and hydrogen. That could be the winning combination of the future.

New-generation renewable energies have become the reference point of our present. Their spread is no longer part of a distant future difficult to see on the horizon, nor are their costs restrictive as before. Now they appear the same in homes as in businesses and industries, we can even see how large portions of agricultural lands are beginning to use their spaces to capture the sun.

If the Doc from “Back to the Future” had to generate 1.21 GW to turn on the DeLorean with current technology, could renewable energies in Mexico help him? Let us see.

According to figures from the Secretariat of Energy for the close of 2019, the installed capacity of electric energy in Mexico was 79.60 GW. This includes plants that use fossil sources, such as combined cycle plants that use natural gas, conventional thermal plants and internal combustion plants — which require diesel and fuel oil —; and coal-fired plants that, as their name indicates, use coal.

There is also hydroelectric energy, which uses dams and other bodies of water, and the nuclear energy that CFE operates in Laguna Verde, Veracruz. And, of course, we have solar photovoltaic, wind and geothermal energies.

The installed capacity of photovoltaic solar energy in Mexico represented 4.37% of the total in 2019, that is, a capacity of 3.4 GW. This means that if we used all the solar installations in the country at the same time for a couple of minutes, we could send Marty to the future almost three times. If we add wind energy, we can return him to the future eight times.

So great is Mexico’s renewable potential that on April 19 at noon, solar, wind, hydroelectric and geothermal energies together contributed 33% of the energy that was consumed at that moment. Solar energy alone contributed on average 1.76 Gigawatts every hour of the month, and I am sure that it is only the beginning.

In these times where renewable energies have become a topic of public debate, it is important to return to the future and leave the past behind. We can all design strategies that allow the country to achieve a true energy transition, integrate more renewable energies, reinforce electric networks, decentralize and digitalize consumption.

So, Doc, in the future they do not sell plutonium in pharmacies, but solar panels are very cheap and easy to get.


This article was originally published by Business Insider México.
Date: May 27, 2020
Original Link: https://businessinsider.mx/volver-al-futuro-energias-renovables-mexico-opinion-paul-alejandro-sanchez-energia-circular/

Archived in: https://web.archive.org/web/20200805220639/https://businessinsider.mx/volver-al-futuro-energias-renovables-mexico-opinion-paul-alejandro-sanchez-energia-circular/