The first year of a new administration is always characterized by a slowdown in activity. The country’s economic direction changes, government strategies for generating economic development and well-being are reoriented, and the objectives and priorities that will define the public agenda are reconsidered.
For this reason, a necessary pause is required to evaluate what has been done and what has been achieved. This 2019 has been a year of learning for the new administration and of analysis aimed at determining the foundations upon which the desired energy future can be built. The current administration’s vision for the energy sector represents a departure from the framework established by the previous administration, and within this break a series of actions have been undertaken that have profoundly transformed the industry.
1. Pause in Competitive Processes. The new administration has placed the energy sector’s competitive processes on an indefinite hold, particularly oil bidding rounds, farm-outs, and electricity auctions. Following three oil bidding rounds and an equal number of electricity auctions that committed significant investments for the country, the administration decided to review the contracts and the progress made on those commitments. It has repeatedly stated that if private sector commitments in these areas are fulfilled in full, additional competitive processes will be reactivated. Therefore, it will be important to monitor the progress of these projects during 2020.
2. Strengthening PEMEX and CFE. One of the current administration’s promises was to rescue and strengthen the state-owned productive enterprises by improving their financial position, restructuring their liabilities, and restoring their leading role within their respective industries. This year we have witnessed that process unfold. PEMEX is seeking to revive its role in oil exploration and production through service contracts, while CFE aims to install additional generation capacity through the PIDIREGAS model. Both approaches could begin to materialize in 2020.
3. Energy Self-Sufficiency. A fundamental objective of the current administration is to produce domestically everything the country consumes, from electricity to gasoline. This objective explains the proposed construction of the Dos Bocas refinery and efforts to increase crude oil processing through the National Refining System. The challenge is significant. Greater domestic processing implies lower imports and, consequently, lower revenues derived from the country’s export platform.
4. A Different Institutional Design. It can be argued that the current administration proposes a new institutional design based more on informal relationships and cooperation than on hierarchies and controls. Under this approach, the Ministry of Energy is responsible for energy policy and overseeing the construction of Dos Bocas, while the CEO of CFE effectively leads the country’s electricity policy and the CEO of PEMEX leads hydrocarbon production policy. Regulators, for their part, now maintain a closer relationship with the state-owned productive enterprises and the Ministry.
5. Opportunities Remain. It is important to emphasize that opportunities still exist for companies capable of developing innovative business models. Private energy auctions, distributed generation projects aimed at reducing costs and increasing renewable energy consumption, next-generation service stations, and risk analysis and management services are just a few examples.
If 2019 has been a year of reflection, we are confident that 2020 will be a year of action and implementation, focused on turning the opportunities offered by Mexico’s energy sector into reality. We hope that the five topics discussed here will serve as useful considerations for planning the year ahead.
This article was originally published by Petróleo y Energía, Volume 17, Issue 112, November–December 2019.
Date: December, 2019
Original: Printed Edition.
Archived Link: https://issuu.com/revistapetroleoenergia/docs/petrus_122-noviembre-diciembre [Archived]




